US hurricane forecast lower
Predictions of the severity of this year’s US hurricane season have been downgraded, but an “active” season remains likely, according to analysts.
UK-based think tank Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) has lowered its hurricane forecast in the Atlantic basin to a 35% chance that this year’s season will be above normal – easing from 40% in July.
The probability of landfall in the US has also been reduced from 40% in July to 20% in August.
However, the centre is still forecasting a lively season, with a 72% chance of “above normal” activity.
TSR is predicting 15 tropical storms will form in the basin in the forthcoming season. At least three of these will be “intense”.
Lead scientist Mark Saunders says the hurricane season is likely to be well below 2004 and 2005 levels.
UK-based think tank Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) has lowered its hurricane forecast in the Atlantic basin to a 35% chance that this year’s season will be above normal – easing from 40% in July.
The probability of landfall in the US has also been reduced from 40% in July to 20% in August.
However, the centre is still forecasting a lively season, with a 72% chance of “above normal” activity.
TSR is predicting 15 tropical storms will form in the basin in the forthcoming season. At least three of these will be “intense”.
Lead scientist Mark Saunders says the hurricane season is likely to be well below 2004 and 2005 levels.