A below-normal Atlantic hurricane season is likely, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

NOAA predicts a 70% likelihood of there being 6-11 named storms, of which 3-6 could become hurricanes, with up to two major hurricanes.

However, it warns there is no room for complacency.

“A below-normal season doesn’t mean we’re off the hook,” NOAA Administrator Kathryn Sullivan said.

“As we’ve seen before, below-normal seasons can still produce catastrophic impacts to communities.”

The current El Nino system is a major factor suppressing this year’s season, which runs from today to November 30.

NOAA will issue an update in early August, as the traditional peak of the season approaches.

It has also issued its outlook for the Eastern Pacific and Central Pacific basins.

For the east, there is a 70% chance of an above-normal season, with 15-22 named storms, 7-12 hurricanes and 5-8 major hurricanes.

The central basin also has a 70% chance of an above-average season, with 5-8 tropical cyclones likely.